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توقع: Bitcoin price on August 7?

Football snapshot for "توقع: Bitcoin price on August 7?" with form, lineup and platform comparison on a single page.

64,000-66,000 90% 66,000-68,000 5% 62,000-64,000 4% 68,000-70,000 1% Volume: $120K Liquidity: $279K Closes: 7 Aug 2026
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توقع: Bitcoin price on August 7?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
64,000-66,00090%
66,000-68,0005%
62,000-64,0004%
68,000-70,0001%
<54,0000%
54,000-56,0000%
56,000-58,0000%
58,000-60,0000%
60,000-62,0000%
70,000-72,0000%
>72,0000%

Market context

Bitcoin is trading in a narrow band for now, with spot prices in early August clustering around the low-to-mid $60,000s while some live feeds still show heavier intraday swings around that area. Coinbase shows Bitcoin at about $91,151, but other market pages and historical feeds in the same search set place BTC closer to $62,000-$64,000, which underlines how much the exact reference point and timestamp matter for a settlement that keys off a specific Binance 1-minute candle close.[3][4][5][7][9][13]

That matters because August has been a weak month historically for Bitcoin, and several current forecast pieces frame $60,000-$65,500 as the most defensible near-term range unless a fresh catalyst forces a break.[15][16] One market preview also shows live prediction pricing concentrated around $62,500 to $64,000, with the higher brackets still carrying less weight, which is consistent with a market that is not yet pricing a decisive move through nearby resistance.[1][10]

For traders, the main watchpoints are the next macro prints and any shift in ETF flow tone, because recent commentary ties BTC’s ability to hold above $64,000 to whether incoming data keeps September rate-cut expectations alive.[6][15] In parallel, the Binance 12:00 ET 1-minute close will be unusually sensitive to lunchtime volatility, so any sharp move into that window, rather than the day’s broader range, is what will ultimately decide settlement.[1]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Bitcoin price on August 7?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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