توقع: Total commitments for the Credible public sale on MetaDAO

Platform comparison

Market context

The Credible Finance public sale on MetaDAO is now live, with the curated raise opening on 13 July 2026 and powered by Solana. The project is targeting between $2 million and $4 million in commitments, having already secured $2.315 million in soft institutional commits before the public phase began [2]. The sale runs for four days, with a hard minimum threshold that triggers full refunds if unmet, creating a binary outcome for capital deployment [4].

Historically, MetaDAO raises with institutional backing have consistently exceeded their minimum thresholds once the public window opens, particularly when soft commits already surpass the floor. The $2.2 million seed round led by Paradigm, a top-tier crypto VC, signals strong institutional confidence that typically translates into public over-subscription [5]. Similar onchain fundraising mechanisms on MetaDAO, such as Hurupay’s uncapped USDC raise with a fixed token supply, have also cleared minimums when early commitments were robust, reinforcing the 99% market-implied probability as grounded in precedent [6].

Traders should monitor the official Credible sale page for the real-time “committed” figure, which serves as the sole resolution source [2]. Key catalysts include any announcement of the raise closing early due to threshold achievement, or delays if the sale is placed on hold. The $9 million valuation cap and minimum raise terms, detailed by Credible CEO Shri, define the upper and lower bounds of the commitment range [9]. Any shift in the displayed committed total toward or beyond the threshold before 31 August 2026 will lock in a “Yes” resolution, regardless of later refunds [1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Total commitments for the Credible public sale on MetaDAO. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?

Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

Which sports markets are available?

Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.