توقع: What price will Bitcoin hit on August 10?

Platform comparison

Market context

Bitcoin is trading in a comparatively tight short-term range, with prediction-market and forecast sites clustering around the mid-$60,000s rather than anything dramatically higher. Robinhood’s event page had Bitcoin at or above $64,750 priced at 63¢, while $65,000 and $65,250 sat at 50¢ and 39¢ respectively, and Polymarket’s August 10 market showed the 64,000–66,000 band as the clear frontrunner at 88%, with 66,000–68,000 the next most likely at 9%.[2][7]

That framing matters because several independent forecast models also centre on the same zone: CoinCodex projected about $65,614 for 10 August, MEXC put its daily estimate at $65,266.77, and CoinGecko’s prediction page pointed to a 57.5% chance of Bitcoin reaching $67,500 by August 2026, with $65,000 treated as major support.[3][5][11] In other words, the current 0% YES price is sitting against a market backdrop that already expects Bitcoin to spend much of the day near the low-to-mid $60,000s, so any move through the quoted thresholds will likely depend on how closely spot tracks these short-term reference levels.[3][5][7]

The main catalysts to watch are macro releases and flows rather than crypto-specific “line-up” news, with one recent market note flagging post-Fed positioning, hawkish repricing, and ETF flow watch as the key drivers into early August.[15] A separate August forecast argued that cooler inflation data could lift Bitcoin towards $68,000–$70,000, while a hot print would keep pressure on the low-$60,000s, which is relevant because the market’s settlement window extends into the next day and leaves room for late moves around scheduled US data and broader risk sentiment.[13]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: What price will Bitcoin hit on August 10?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

How fast do sports winnings settle?

Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.