Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-3.5) vs Leo Team (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-6.5) vs Leo Team (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leo Team (-3.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-3.5) vs Leo Team (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-6.5) vs Leo Team (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-9.5) vs Leo Team (+9.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: Leo (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leo Team (-3.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-9.5) vs Leo Team (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-3.5) vs Leo Team (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Bushido Wildcats (-6.5) vs Leo Team (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leo Team (-6.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leo Team (-9.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leo Team (-3.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
Market context
Bushido Wildcats’ match with Leo Team in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 playoffs sits in a familiar range: the market is pricing the favourites as close to certain, but the teams have split their recent shared history and neither side has a long, one-sided edge. Their last recorded meeting in February 2026 was a Leo Team 2-0 win in ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 1, while an earlier October 2025 Bo3 went Bushido Wildcats’ way 2-1, so the head-to-head is mixed rather than decisive.[4][7] Form data available for Bushido Wildcats points to a strong run, with an 82% win rate over the last month and a five-match winning streak, but the same source also flags map-specific risk: a weak Nuke record and only middling Dust2 numbers.[1]
For traders, the main catalysts are roster confirmation, veto strength, and whether the scheduled Bo3 actually starts on time. The current line-up cards show both teams at full starting five on the available match page, with Bushido Wildcats listed as Darendeli, Muk0s, cadnyx, Vej and cacan, and Leo Team as drac, leen, Tarkky, next1me and aimy.[1] That reduces the chance of a late substitution-driven swing, but it does not remove the usual playoff risks: schedule compression, technical delays, or a walkover scenario. The market rules also matter because a match that is not completed can still resolve to the match winner if play has begun, while a pre-start forfeit or withdrawal resolves to 50-50 rather than a team win.[2]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Leo Team (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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