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توقع: Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $159K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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توقع: Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map Handicap: PDAF (-1.5) vs ODDIK (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: ODK (-1.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-6.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-3.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-6.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-3.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ODDIK (-9.5) vs Patins da Ferrari (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.50%

Market context

Patins da Ferrari defeated ODDIK 2–0 in their CCT South America Series 4 Swiss round 3 match on 19 July 2026, securing wins on Ancient (13–11) and Dust II (16–14) [1][2]. The result confirms the 100% YES crowd-implied probability for Patins da Ferrari, as the match has already concluded with a clear winner.

Historically, ODDIK held a perfect 4–0 head-to-head record against Patins da Ferrari prior to this event, having won all four encounters in July 2024 with 2–0 scores [4]. This match marked a significant reversal, as Patins da Ferrari broke the streak despite ODDIK’s higher global ranking and stronger opening performance at the tournament, where they defeated paiN Academy 2–0 [6]. Such turnarounds in regional CS2 circuits often reflect short-term momentum shifts rather than long-term hierarchy changes, especially when lower-ranked teams enter with four wins in five recent outings [4][6].

Traders should monitor official CCT South America Series 4 bracket updates for Patins da Ferrari’s next opponent, as the winner of this Swiss round 3 match advances directly to the following stage [1]. No line-up changes, suspensions, or injuries have been reported for either side post-match [4][8]. With the settlement window ending 2026-07-20 and the match already completed, the market resolves definitively to Patins da Ferrari, leaving no dependency on future announcements or delays.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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