Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
61% | 39% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
61% | 39% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 61% |
| Any Player Rampage | 56% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 55% |
| Any Player Rampage | 54% |
| Game 2 Winner | 52% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 51% |
| Ends in Daytime | 51% |
| Any Player Rampage | 51% |
| Game 1 Winner | 50% |
| Match Winner | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 49% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 49% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 49% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 48% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 48% |
| Ends in Daytime | 48% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 47% |
| Game Handicap: ICxI (-1.5) vs Team Jenz (+1.5) | 45% |
Market context
Market consensus: 61% chance of توقع: dota 2: team jenz vs inner circle (bo3) - epl masters play-in group a. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Jenz and Inner Circle in the EPL Masters Play-In Group A, initially scheduled for July 23 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolv…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Trade توقع: Dota 2: Team Jenz vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL … on توقعات المونديال
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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