Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 95% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 90% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1? | 90% |
| Ends in Daytime | 10% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% |
| Ends in Daytime | 10% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 10% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 10% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 10% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 1? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 1? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2? | 10% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% |
Market context
Poor Rangers and Rune Eaters face off in a best-of-two group-stage clash at the Dota 2 Esports World Cup 2026 in Paris, scheduled for 5:00 AM ET on 11 July 2026. The 0% crowd-implied probability for additional markets suggests the market anticipates a decisive, low-variance outcome with no draws or extended side-bets triggering.
Historical head-to-head data shows Power Rangers (often conflated with Poor Rangers in early reporting) defeated Rune Eaters 2–0 in their only prior meeting during DreamLeague Season 28 qualifiers on 9 January 2026, lasting 90 minutes with no map losses for the victor [5][6]. This clean sweep pattern mirrors other EWC 2026 group matches where dominant regional teams avoided draws, reinforcing the market’s expectation of a straightforward result that limits ancillary betting triggers.
Traders should monitor live roster confirmations on DLTV and Liquipedia for any late suspensions or injury swaps, as Rune Eaters’ recent form has fluctuated without a stable core [4][10]. The match’s settlement hinges on the official EWC 2026 group-stage result posted on GosuGamers, where any deviation from the 2–0 script could activate secondary markets currently priced at zero [1][7]. No schedule changes are expected, but real-time net worth swings and map progression updates on Hawk.live will determine if side-bets resolve before the 15:00 UTC cutoff [7].
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Rune Eaters - More Mar… on توقعات المونديال
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →