Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 99% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 55% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 55% |
| Match Winner | 53% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5) | 1% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 1% |
| Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5) | 1% |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
Market context
Power Rangers’ upper-bracket quarter-final against Yellow Submarine is live in the EPL Masters Playoffs, and the 100% YES price effectively assumes the series will be completed with a winner rather than being derailed by cancellation or delay. The cleanest read on that number is that the market is treating the matchup as already “live” in practical terms, with the settlement risk concentrated in match completion rather than team strength. [1][2]
On comparable form, the recent numbers are mixed but not one-sided. GosuGamers lists Yellow Submarine above Power Rangers in its World Ranking, 24th to 28th, while bo3.gg and Strafe both point to Power Rangers entering on a strong run, including five straight wins and a 71% win rate over the last month, versus Yellow Submarine’s more uneven recent results. Head-to-head has also favoured Yellow Submarine in the available records, with two prior BO3 wins over Power Rangers, both by 2-1 scorelines, which matters more here than the headline crowd price if the series becomes competitive. [2][4][5][9][15]
The key catalysts are roster confirmation, match timing, and whether the series stays on schedule inside the playoff bracket. Current listings show both teams fielding full starting line-ups, with Power Rangers using alberkaaa, Hduo, kiyotaka, Immersion and bashka, and Yellow Submarine listing sematary, Xakoda, bottega and Rain among its starters, while the fixture itself is still being tracked as a best-of-three in the playoff quarter-finals. If the series slips, gets re-cast, or is not completed within the market’s seven-day window, settlement rules become more important than on-server form, so traders should watch for organiser updates and live bracket progression rather than relying only on pre-match odds. [4][5][14][17][19]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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