Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
89% | 11% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
89% | 11% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Match Winner | 89% |
| Game 1 Winner | 81% |
| Game 2 Winner | 81% |
| Game Handicap: DCG (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5) | 67% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 62% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 62% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 61% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 53% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 51% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 3? | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 49% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 31% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 28% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 28% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 28% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 27% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 27% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 26% |
Market context
Deep Cross Gaming meet DetonatioN FocusMe in a best-of-three LCP Group Stage match, and the market’s 81% lean to Deep Cross Gaming reflects a fairly clear recent edge rather than a coin-flip series. The most relevant head-to-head data available this year points the same way: Deep Cross Gaming have beaten DetonatioN FocusMe in their recent meetings, including a 2-0 result in May and another 2-0 win in an EWC APAC qualifier, while DetonatioN FocusMe have not recorded a win in the series in the sources provided.[1][7][9]
The wider form profile also favours Deep Cross Gaming. One match database shows Deep Cross Gaming with seven wins from their last ten, versus one from ten for DetonatioN FocusMe, and another lists Deep Cross Gaming on a stronger recent run than DFM.[3][11] That said, the market is not pricing in a blow-out, which fits the fact both teams have mixed recent tournament results and the series format allows a short swing if one side drafts cleanly or lands early tempo.[3][4]
For traders, the main catalysts are line-up and schedule confirmation, plus whether either side arrives off the back of a quick turnaround from earlier LCP fixtures. Deep Cross Gaming were shut out 2-0 by CTBC Flying Oyster on 26 July, while DetonatioN FocusMe were also beaten 2-0 by GAM Esports in their latest listed LCP result, so any last-minute roster swap, illness, or emergency substitution would matter more than usual in a Bo3.[12][17] The official LCP schedule page remains the cleanest source for timing and postponement risk, and if the match is delayed beyond the market’s seven-day window without a winner, settlement falls to 50-50.[20]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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