Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
70% | 30% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
70% | 30% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) | 70% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 65% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 62% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 59% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 51% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 49% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 49% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 49% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 46% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 35% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 35% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 28% |
| Game 1 Winner | 19% |
| Game 2 Winner | 19% |
| Match Winner | 10% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 6% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 6% |
Market context
Dignitas face LYON in an LCS regular-season best-of-three, with the market sitting at a low **19%** for Dignitas. Recent head-to-heads point towards LYON having the clearer edge: they beat Dignitas **2-1** in the Spring regular season and **2-0** in Lock-In earlier in 2026, while Dignitas’ other listed meetings against LYON in recent seasons also lean against them[10][13][14]. That history fits the current price: a sub-20% implied chance usually reflects a team needing a sharp form change or a lineup edge to justify a move.
The main catalysts are roster confirmation and whether either side makes late changes before the scheduled start. The listed records show LYON coming in with stronger recent results in the matchup, including a series win on 11 April 2026 and another dominant best-of-three in Lock-In, so any Dignitas bullish case likely depends on a cleaner draft read or an improved patch fit rather than matchup history alone[3][10][13]. Traders should also watch for schedule slippage, because the market only resolves to 50-50 if the match is not played, ends level, or is pushed beyond seven days without a winner, which makes official league status and broadcast start time relevant if the fixture is disrupted.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season on توقعات المونديال
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →