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توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5) 100% Odd/Even Total Kills 100% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 90% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 90% Volume: $641K Liquidity: $560K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)100%
Odd/Even Total Kills100%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?90%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Any Player Quadra Kill10%
Any Player Penta Kill10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?7%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

FlyQuest and Team Liquid meet in a best-of-three LCS regular season series, with the market sitting at 0% YES despite the underlying matchup looking much more balanced than that price implies. Recent head-to-head results are split across the last few meetings: Team Liquid beat FlyQuest 3-1 in the June 2026 playoffs, but FlyQuest took the earlier spring regular-season series 2-1, while historical matchup data still leans slightly towards Team Liquid overall[1][2][14].

Form favours Team Liquid in the short term. The current summer standings snapshot shows Team Liquid at 2-0 with a perfect map record after wins over Sentinels and Cloud9, while FlyQuest are 1-1 after beating Disguised and losing to LYON[1][8]. Comparable prior cases matter because these teams have repeatedly traded series wins, and FlyQuest have already shown they can upset Team Liquid in high-stakes matches, including a championship run where they ended Liquid’s long unbeaten LCS series streak[16].

For traders, the main catalysts are late roster or schedule changes rather than injuries, suspensions, or lane substitutions, none of which are indicated in the available team listings[2]. The line-up pages currently show FlyQuest fielding Quad, Massu, Gakgos, Gryffinn and Cryogen, with Team Liquid listed as Yeon, Quid, Josedeodo, Morgan and CoreJJ[2]. Because this market settles on whether the match is actually played and completed, any postponement, cancellation or unusual forfeiture would matter more than pre-match sentiment; otherwise, the key read-through is whether Team Liquid’s cleaner recent form outweighs FlyQuest’s demonstrated head-to-head ceiling[1][2][12].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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