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توقع: LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 73% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 73% Match Winner 66% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66% Volume: $98K Liquidity: $591K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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توقع: LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon73%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon73%
Match Winner66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?65%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?61%
Game 1 Winner60%
Game 2 Winner60%
First Blood in Game 1?53%
First Blood in Game 2?53%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?48%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?38%
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?35%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor19%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor19%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors16%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors16%

Market context

The توقع: LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season prediction market currently prices this outcome at 73% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between GIANTX and SK Gaming in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 1 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win the matc…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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