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توقع: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $340K Liquidity: $479K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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توقع: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.575%
Match Winner69%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Winner49%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)49%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)1%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)1%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: valorant: gentle mates vs nrg (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Quarterfinal 2 match between Gentle Mates and NRG in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 9:45AM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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