Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-3.5) vs EDward Gaming (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-4.5) vs EDward Gaming (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-3.5) vs EDward Gaming (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-5.5) vs EDward Gaming (+5.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-4.5) vs EDward Gaming (+4.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-6.5) vs EDward Gaming (+6.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-7.5) vs EDward Gaming (+7.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-2.5) vs EDward Gaming (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-5.5) vs EDward Gaming (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-6.5) vs EDward Gaming (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-7.5) vs EDward Gaming (+7.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: LOUD (-8.5) vs EDward Gaming (+8.5) | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: valorant: loud vs edward gaming (bo3) - vct champions group b stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between LOUD and EDward Gaming in the VCT Champions Group B, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will re…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Valorant: LOUD vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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