توقع: "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office

Platform comparison

Market context

Angel Studios’ PG-13 historical epic *Young Washington* is set to open domestically this Fourth of July weekend on 2,700 screens, with Friday previews already indicating an estimated $7.60 million gross[3][5]. The film, a sanitized origin story about George Washington’s early life on the battlefields, arrives during a quiet indie slate, leaving the field largely to itself against major competition like *Minions & Monsters*[2][9].

Historically, July 4 openings for faith-based or patriotic narratives from Angel Studios have shown strong initial traction but volatile second-week drops, as seen with *Sound of Freedom* and the recent collapse of *Supergirl*, which nosedived 76% in its second weekend[1]. While early tracking projected a $23–$35 million opening with a potential $145 million domestic run[4], the current 0% YES probability suggests the market anticipates the film will fall below the lowest bracket, possibly due to underwhelming audience turnout or rapid decay.

Traders should monitor Saturday and Sunday finalised figures, which will replace studio estimates and determine the official 3-day opening total[2]. Any deviation from the $23 million forecast, especially if the film fails to cross $15 million, will confirm the lower bracket outcome. Final numbers are expected to be locked by July 5 evening, with settlement confirmed once the 3-day gross is finalised and not estimated[2].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?

Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.

Can I bet on individual matches?

Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.

What are live sports odds on Polymarket?

Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.

What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?

Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.

Can I import form data and lineups?

This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.