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توقع: Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?

"توقع: Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

Angela Rayner 100% Wes Streeting 100% Yvette Cooper 100% Shabana Mahmood 100% Volume: $148K Liquidity: $183K Closes: 31 Dec 2026
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توقع: Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Angela Rayner100%
Wes Streeting100%
Yvette Cooper100%
Shabana Mahmood100%
Pat McFadden100%
Bridget Phillipson100%
Ed Miliband100%
Lisa Nandy100%
Heidi Alexander100%
Jonathan Reynolds100%
Alan Campbell100%
John Healey100%
Louise Haigh100%
Catherine West8%
Dan Jarvis7%
Liz Kendall7%
Jacqui Smith4%
Jess Phillips3%
James Murray2%
Peter Kyle2%
Ian Murray2%
Rachel Reeves1%
David Lammy1%
Darren Jones1%
Steve Reed1%
Hilary Benn1%
Jo Stevens1%
Patrick Vallance1%
Keir Starmer0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to توقع: who will be in the burnham cabinet?. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise,…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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