Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
53% | 47% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
53% | 47% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Jackson Koivun | 53% |
| Ben Kohles | 11% |
| Emiliano Grillo | 10% |
| Scottie Scheffler | 7% |
| Michael Brennan | 6% |
| Chandler Phillips | 3% |
| Michael Kim | 2% |
| Billy Horschel | 2% |
| Denny McCarthy | 2% |
| Kurt Kitayama | 1% |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 1% |
| Gary Woodland | 1% |
| Christiaan Bezuidenhout | 1% |
| Davis Thompson | 1% |
| Kevin Yu | 1% |
| Brian Harman | 1% |
| Lee Hodges | 1% |
| Ze-Cheng Dou | 1% |
| Seamus Power | 1% |
| Austin Smotherman | 1% |
| Kevin Roy | 1% |
| Maverick McNealy | 0% |
| Keith Mitchell | 0% |
| Jake Knapp | 0% |
| Tom Kim | 0% |
| Pierceson Coody | 0% |
| Jackson Suber | 0% |
| Max Homa | 0% |
| Corey Conners | 0% |
| Jordan L. Smith | 0% |
| Doug Ghim | 0% |
| Sung-Jae Im | 0% |
| Benjamin James | 0% |
| Sam Stevens | 0% |
| Tony Finau | 0% |
| Sudarshan Yellamaraju | 0% |
| Johnny Keefer | 0% |
| Mac Meissner | 0% |
| Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen | 0% |
| Jason Day | 0% |
| Max Greyserman | 0% |
| William Mouw | 0% |
| Aldrich Potgieter | 0% |
| Stephan Jaeger | 0% |
| Taylor Pendrith | 0% |
| Casey Jarvis | 0% |
| Ricky Castillo | 0% |
| Steven Fisk | 0% |
| Beau Hossler | 0% |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 0% |
| John Parry | 0% |
| Taylor Moore | 0% |
| Preston Stout | 0% |
| Max McGreevy | 0% |
| Lucas Glover | 0% |
| Hao-Tong Li | 0% |
| Thorbjorn Olesen | 0% |
| Andrew Putnam | 0% |
| Rico Hoey | 0% |
| Zach Bauchou | 0% |
| Keita Nakajima | 0% |
| Jesper Svensson | 0% |
| Patrick Rodgers | 0% |
| Adrien Dumont De Chassart | 0% |
| Matt Kuchar | 0% |
| Zac Blair | 0% |
| Ryder Cowan | 0% |
| Patrick Fishburn | 0% |
| Takumi Kanaya | 0% |
| Chris Kirk | 0% |
| A.J. Ewart | 0% |
| Kristoffer Ventura | 0% |
| Garrick Higgo | 0% |
| Austin Eckroat | 0% |
| Gordon Sargent | 0% |
| Tom Hoge | 0% |
| Chad Ramey | 0% |
| Erik Van Rooyen | 0% |
| Matthieu Pavon | 0% |
| Pontus Nyholm | 0% |
| Nick Dunlap | 0% |
| Karl Vilips | 0% |
| Neal Shipley | 0% |
| Luke Clanton | 0% |
| Joel Dahmen | 0% |
| David Skinns | 0% |
| Brandt Snedeker | 0% |
| Hayden Springer | 0% |
| Trace Crowe | 0% |
| David Lipsky | 0% |
| Aaron Wise | 0% |
| S.Y. Noh | 0% |
| Harry Higgs | 0% |
| Mark Hubbard | 0% |
| Luke List | 0% |
| Cameron Champ | 0% |
| Vince Whaley | 0% |
| Lanto Griffin | 0% |
| Adam Hadwin | 0% |
| Jimmy Stanger | 0% |
| Player 0 | 0% |
| Player 1 | 0% |
| Player 2 | 0% |
| Player 3 | 0% |
| Player 4 | 0% |
| Player 5 | 0% |
| Player 6 | 0% |
| Player 7 | 0% |
| Player 8 | 0% |
| Player 9 | 0% |
| Player 10 | 0% |
| Player 11 | 0% |
| Player 12 | 0% |
| Player 13 | 0% |
| Player 14 | 0% |
| Player 15 | 0% |
| Player 16 | 0% |
| Player 17 | 0% |
| Player 18 | 0% |
| Player 19 | 0% |
| Other | 0% |
Market context
توقع: PGA Tour: 3M Open Winner — current market-implied probability: 53%. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 3M Open tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the 3M Open tournament based on the official rules o…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: PGA Tour: 3M Open Winner. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade توقع: PGA Tour: 3M Open Winner on توقعات المونديال
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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