Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 1% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to توقع: croatia open: roman andres burruchaga vs camilo ugo carabelli. This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Andres Burruchaga and Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Croatia Open, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to …
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Trade توقع: Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camil… on توقعات المونديال
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →