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توقع: US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith 100% Completed Match 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $395K Closes: 3 Sept 2026
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توقع: US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith100%
Completed Match100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Match O/U 21.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set 2 Winner100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Match O/U 22.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Match O/U 23.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set 1 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set 1 O/U 8.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set 1 O/U 9.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set 2 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to توقع: us open, qualification atp: hugo gaston vs colton smith. This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Colton Smith in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: US Open, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Colton Smith. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
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Related Topics

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