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توقع: Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston 77% Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 23.5 75% Completed Match 50% Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 Winner 50% Volume: $154K Liquidity: $242K Closes: 28 Aug 2026
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توقع: Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
77% 23% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
77% 23% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston77%
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 23.575%
Completed Match50%
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 Winner50%
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 8.550%
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 21.550%
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 Winner50%
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 22.547%

Market context

The توقع: Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston prediction market currently prices this outcome at 77% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Jesper de Jong and Hugo Gaston in the Quebec City, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jesper de Jong' …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Quebec City: Jesper de Jong vs Hugo Gaston. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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