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توقع: China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Completed Match 100% China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $144K Closes: 5 Oct 2026
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توقع: China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Game Spread +/-4.5100%
China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta0%
China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 Winner0%
China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner0%
China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.50%
China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 10.50%
China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 21.50%
China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 22.50%
China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for توقع: China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta. This market refers to the tennis match between Yi Zhou and Pablo Carreno Busta in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
and

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