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توقع: Ohio State vs. Texas

"توقع: Ohio State vs. Texas" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

O/U 28.5 94% O/U 30.5 90% O/U 32.5 89% O/U 34.5 85% Volume: $139K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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توقع: Ohio State vs. Texas

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 28.594%
O/U 30.590%
O/U 32.589%
O/U 34.585%
O/U 36.582%
O/U 38.577%
Texas O/U 18.575%
O/U 40.574%
Ohio State O/U 18.574%
Ohio State O/U 17.574%
Texas O/U 19.573%
O/U 42.572%
2H Moneyline67%
2Q Moneyline67%
3Q Moneyline67%
4Q Moneyline67%
Ohio State O/U 20.566%
O/U 44.563%
Texas O/U 21.563%
2Q O/U 7.563%
Ohio State O/U 21.562%
Texas O/U 22.561%
O/U 46.560%
O/U 47.557%
Bo Jackson: Anytime Touchdown56%
Ohio State O/U 23.556%
1Q O/U 7.556%
O/U 48.555%
1Q Moneyline55%
2Q O/U 10.555%
O/U 49.553%
Spread -0.553%
Texas O/U 2.553%
Spread: Texas (-1.5)52%
Ohio State O/U 2.552%
1H O/U 30.552%
Devin McCuin: Anytime Touchdown51%
Isaiah West: Anytime Touchdown51%
Michael Masunas: Anytime Touchdown51%
Texas 1H O/U 12.551%
2H O/U 18.551%
1Q O/U 4.551%
2Q O/U 13.551%
4Q O/U 13.551%
Chris Henry Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brandon Inniss: Anytime Touchdown50%
Derrek Cooper: Anytime Touchdown50%
Julian Sayin: Anytime Touchdown50%
Sterling Berkhalter: Anytime Touchdown50%
James Simon: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nate Roberts: Anytime Touchdown50%
Mason Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
Hunter Welcing: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kyle Parker: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nick Townsend: Anytime Touchdown50%
Brock Boyd: Anytime Touchdown50%
2H Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
Texas O/U 24.550%
Texas 1H O/U 10.550%
Texas 1H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 10.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 12.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 8.550%
Texas 1H O/U 9.550%
Texas 1H O/U 11.550%
Texas 1H O/U 13.550%
Texas 2H O/U 10.550%
Texas 2H O/U 12.550%
Texas 2H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 10.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 12.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 14.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 9.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 11.550%
Ohio State 1H O/U 13.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
Texas 2H O/U 11.550%
Texas 2H O/U 13.550%
Texas 2H O/U 15.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 11.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 13.550%
Ohio State 2H O/U 15.550%
1Q Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
1H O/U 18.550%
1H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q O/U 3.550%
3Q O/U 6.550%
3Q O/U 9.550%
3Q O/U 15.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
O/U 50.549%
1H Moneyline49%
Texas O/U 25.549%
1H O/U 24.549%
1H O/U 27.549%
4Q O/U 10.549%
4Q O/U 19.549%
Spread -2.548%
1H Spread -0.548%
Ohio State O/U 24.548%
Ohio State vs. Texas47%
1H Spread -1.547%
Spread -0.547%
1H Spread -2.546%
2Q Spread -0.546%
Texas 1H O/U 15.546%
2Q Spread -0.546%
3Q O/U 12.546%
Spread -1.545%
1H Spread -0.545%
3Q Spread -3.545%
4Q Spread -0.544%
Ohio State O/U 26.544%
1Q O/U 10.544%
2Q O/U 16.544%
O/U 52.543%
2H Spread -1.543%
1Q Spread -0.543%
4Q Spread -0.543%
Spread -2.543%
1H Spread -1.543%
1Q O/U 13.543%
Spread -3.542%
2H Spread -2.542%
2Q Spread -1.542%
2H Spread -1.542%
1Q Spread -3.542%
4Q Spread -3.542%
3Q Spread -0.541%
Texas O/U 27.541%
2Q Spread -2.540%
3Q Spread -1.540%
3Q Spread -2.540%
4Q Spread -2.540%
4Q Spread -1.540%
4Q Spread -2.540%
2H Spread -2.540%
1Q Spread -2.539%
1H Spread -3.539%
2Q O/U 19.539%
O/U 54.538%
Ohio State O/U 27.538%
2Q Spread -2.538%
1Q Spread -2.538%
Spread -3.538%
Spread -4.537%
Texas O/U 28.537%
1Q Spread -3.537%
Spread -5.536%
2H Spread -3.536%
2Q Spread -3.536%
Ohio State O/U 3.535%
2H Spread -3.535%
1H Spread -3.535%
O/U 56.534%
Spread -6.533%
2Q Spread -3.533%
Texas O/U 30.532%
Ohio State O/U 29.532%
Spread -5.532%
Spread -4.531%
Ohio State O/U 30.530%
Spread -6.530%
2H Spread -5.530%
Jeremiah Smith: Anytime Touchdown29%
O/U 58.528%
Spread -7.527%
O/U 60.526%
Texas O/U 31.526%
Spread -8.525%
Hollywood Smothers: Anytime Touchdown25%
Spread -9.525%
1Q O/U 16.525%
O/U 62.522%
Arch Manning: Anytime Touchdown22%
Ryan Wingo: Anytime Touchdown22%
Cam Coleman: Anytime Touchdown22%
Spread -10.521%
Spread -8.521%
Raleek Brown: Anytime Touchdown20%
O/U 64.519%
Spread -12.518%
Spread -13.517%
Ja'Kobi Jackson: Anytime Touchdown17%
Spread -11.516%
Spread -34.515%
O/U 66.515%
Legend Bey: Anytime Touchdown15%
Emmett Mosley V: Anytime Touchdown14%
Spread -12.514%
Spread -14.513%
O/U 68.513%
Spread -15.513%
Spread -16.512%
Spread -14.511%
Spread -17.510%
Spread -15.510%
Spread -18.59%
Spread -31.58%
Spread -20.56%
Spread -18.56%
Spread -19.56%
Spread -21.55%
Spread -24.55%
Spread -22.55%
Spread -27.54%

Market context

Ohio State vs. Texas. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 47% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-12T23:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 28.5 at 94% for "توقع: Ohio State vs. Texas".

O/U 28.5 94% Other 6%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $139K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Ohio State vs. Texas. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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