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توقع: Penn State vs. Michigan

"توقع: Penn State vs. Michigan" — live football odds plus comparison across the four major prediction venues.

1Q Spread -1.5 100% 1Q Spread -0.5 100% 1H Moneyline 100% 1Q Moneyline 100% Volume: $204K Liquidity: $405K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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توقع: Penn State vs. Michigan

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1H Moneyline100%
1Q Moneyline100%
3Q Spread -2.588%
3Q Spread -3.587%
Spread -1.577%
Spread -2.569%
Spread -3.568%
4Q O/U 7.563%
Spread -4.559%
Spread -5.555%
Spread -6.553%
3Q O/U 7.553%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q451%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.551%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.551%
Spread -20.550%
Spread -17.550%
Spread -16.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -0.550%
O/U 53.550%
O/U 55.550%
O/U 59.550%
O/U 61.550%
O/U 65.550%
O/U 67.550%
O/U 69.550%
O/U 71.550%
O/U 73.550%
O/U 75.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
3Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
Penn State O/U 26.550%
Penn State O/U 29.550%
Penn State O/U 32.550%
Michigan O/U 26.550%
Michigan O/U 29.550%
Michigan O/U 32.550%
Michigan O/U 35.550%
Penn State 2H O/U 11.550%
Penn State 2H O/U 13.550%
Penn State 2H O/U 15.550%
Michigan 2H O/U 12.550%
Michigan 2H O/U 14.550%
Michigan 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q250%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Penn State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Michigan Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Penn State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Michigan Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Penn State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Michigan Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Penn State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Michigan Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Penn State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Michigan 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Penn State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Michigan Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Penn State Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Michigan Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Penn State Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Michigan Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Penn State vs. Michigan: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Penn State O/U 2.550%
Michigan O/U 2.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
Spread -7.546%
4Q Spread -1.545%
4Q O/U 13.541%
4Q Spread -2.541%
3Q O/U 13.540%
4Q Spread -3.534%
O/U 35.533%
O/U 37.530%
Spread -10.528%
O/U 41.528%
Michigan O/U 23.527%
Spread -8.523%
4Q O/U 16.522%
4Q O/U 19.522%
Spread -13.521%
Penn State vs. Michigan20%
Spread -1.520%
Spread -2.518%
3Q O/U 16.517%
3Q O/U 19.514%
Spread -3.513%
Spread -16.513%
Spread -4.512%
Penn State O/U 20.512%
Spread -14.511%
Spread -17.511%
Spread -5.510%
Penn State O/U 23.59%
O/U 39.58%
Spread -6.57%
Spread -13.56%
Spread -20.56%
Spread -10.55%
Spread -7.55%
O/U 51.55%
Spread -14.54%
O/U 43.54%
O/U 45.53%
O/U 49.53%
O/U 47.52%
O/U 57.52%
O/U 63.51%
1H O/U 21.50%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
Penn State 1H O/U 11.50%
Penn State 1H O/U 13.50%
Penn State 1H O/U 15.50%
Michigan 1H O/U 12.50%
Michigan 1H O/U 14.50%
Michigan 1H O/U 16.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
1H Spread -0.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%

Market context

توقع: Penn State vs. Michigan — current market-implied probability: 100%. In the upcoming college football game between Penn State and Michigan, scheduled for October 17 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Penn State" if Penn State win the game. This market will reso…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q Spread -1.5 at 100% for "توقع: Penn State vs. Michigan".

1Q Spread -1.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $204K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Penn State vs. Michigan. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Priya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi AnalystandAlex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market Analyst

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