🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogTrade this market →

توقع: Virginia vs. SMU

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Virginia vs. SMU" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 35.5 88% O/U 37.5 83% 2Q O/U 7.5 83% O/U 39.5 82% Volume: $93K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 17 Oct 2026
Open live market →
توقع: Virginia vs. SMU

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 88% 12% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 88% 12% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 35.588%
O/U 37.583%
2Q O/U 7.583%
O/U 39.582%
Spread -0.576%
O/U 41.576%
SMU O/U 23.576%
Spread -1.575%
4Q O/U 7.575%
Spread -2.574%
O/U 43.572%
2Q O/U 10.569%
Spread -3.568%
Spread -4.566%
O/U 45.566%
1H Spread -2.565%
Spread -5.563%
3Q O/U 7.563%
Spread -6.562%
O/U 47.562%
4Q O/U 10.562%
1Q O/U 7.561%
2Q O/U 13.561%
SMU O/U 26.561%
O/U 49.557%
SMU O/U 29.557%
SMU 2H O/U 12.556%
1H Spread -4.556%
2H Spread -2.556%
1Q Spread -2.556%
Spread -7.555%
1H Spread -5.555%
2Q Spread -2.555%
2H Spread -0.554%
Spread -8.553%
1H O/U 24.553%
4Q O/U 13.553%
2Q Spread -0.553%
Virginia O/U 20.552%
SMU 1H O/U 14.552%
Spread -9.552%
1H Spread -6.552%
1Q Spread -0.552%
O/U 51.551%
1H O/U 21.551%
Virginia 2H O/U 11.551%
Spread -20.550%
1H O/U 33.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
Virginia O/U 26.550%
Virginia O/U 29.550%
Virginia O/U 32.550%
Virginia 1H O/U 11.550%
Virginia 1H O/U 15.550%
SMU 1H O/U 12.550%
Virginia 2H O/U 15.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Virginia vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Virginia Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
SMU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
SMU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Virginia Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
SMU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Virginia Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
SMU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Virginia 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
SMU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Virginia Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
SMU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
SMU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Virginia Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
SMU Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
SMU Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
SMU Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
SMU Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
SMU Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
SMU Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Virginia Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Virginia vs. SMU: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Virginia vs. SMU: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
1Q Spread -5.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
2H Moneyline50%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
SMU 1H O/U 16.549%
3Q O/U 10.548%
2H Spread -4.548%
1Q Spread -3.548%
1Q Spread -4.548%
2Q Spread -3.548%
Spread -10.547%
SMU 2H O/U 14.547%
3Q Spread -2.547%
1Q O/U 10.546%
Virginia 2H O/U 13.546%
SMU 2H O/U 16.546%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q246%
2Q Spread -4.546%
O/U 53.545%
1H O/U 27.545%
2Q O/U 16.545%
3Q O/U 13.545%
SMU O/U 32.545%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q444%
Virginia Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.543%
1H Spread -7.543%
Spread -13.542%
Virginia 1H O/U 13.542%
Virginia vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.542%
3Q Spread -3.542%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q141%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q341%
Virginia O/U 2.541%
SMU O/U 3.541%
O/U 55.540%
Virginia O/U 23.540%
Virginia vs. SMU: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.540%
1H Spread -9.540%
2H O/U 27.539%
1Q O/U 13.539%
Spread -14.538%
Virginia vs. SMU: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.538%
Game Goes to Overtime37%
O/U 57.536%
1H O/U 30.536%
Spread -16.535%
4Q O/U 16.535%
2H Spread -7.535%
4Q Spread -3.535%
2Q O/U 19.534%
SMU O/U 35.534%
4Q Spread -2.532%
Spread -17.531%
O/U 59.530%
1Q Moneyline30%
O/U 61.528%
2H O/U 30.528%
2Q Spread -7.527%
Spread -20.526%
3Q O/U 16.526%
1H Moneyline25%
Virginia vs. SMU24%
Spread -0.524%
1Q O/U 16.524%
O/U 63.523%
Spread -1.522%
1Q Spread -7.522%
Spread -2.521%
4Q O/U 19.520%
O/U 65.519%
O/U 67.518%
1Q O/U 19.518%
Spread -3.517%
3Q O/U 19.517%
Spread -4.515%
Spread -5.514%
Spread -6.513%
O/U 69.512%
O/U 71.511%
Spread -7.510%
Spread -8.59%
O/U 73.59%
O/U 75.58%
Spread -16.57%
Spread -10.57%
Spread -17.56%
Spread -13.55%
Spread -14.53%

Market context

توقع: Virginia vs. SMU — current market-implied probability: 88%. In the upcoming college football game between Virginia and SMU, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Virginia" if Virginia win the game. This market will resolve to "SM…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 35.5 at 88% for "توقع: Virginia vs. SMU".

O/U 35.5 88% Other 12%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $93K.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Virginia vs. SMU. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Priya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi AnalystandAlex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market Analyst

Trade توقع: Virginia vs. SMU on توقعات المونديال

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to توقعات المونديال.

See all markets →

Related Topics

Sports