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توقع: Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 51% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 51% First Blood in Game 1? 50% First Blood in Game 2? 50% Volume: $232K Liquidity: $443K Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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توقع: Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?51%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?51%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Ends in Daytime50%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Game 1 Winner43%
Game 2 Winner41%
Match Winner38%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)35%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks31%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks31%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks31%
Any Player Ultra Kill29%
Any Player Ultra Kill29%
Any Player Ultra Kill29%
Any Player Rampage23%
Any Player Rampage13%
Any Player Rampage8%

Market context

توقع: Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 51%. This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket semifinal match between BoomBoys and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market w…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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