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توقع: Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Match Winner 61% Game 2 Winner 60% Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3? 60% Game 1 Winner 59% Volume: $161K Liquidity: $265K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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توقع: Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
61% 39% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
61% 39% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner61%
Game 2 Winner60%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 3?60%
Game 1 Winner59%
Ends in Daytime56%
Any Player Ultra Kill51%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Rampage50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?48%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?47%
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)36%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks32%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks32%
Any Player Ultra Kill30%
Any Player Ultra Kill30%
Any Player Rampage23%
Any Player Rampage23%

Market context

The توقع: Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage prediction market currently prices this outcome at 61% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between TEAM VISION and Team Spirit in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stage. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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