Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 100% |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5) | 100% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
Market context
Zero Tenacity defeated Nemiga Gaming 2–0 in their EPL Masters Play-In Group B match on 20 July 2026, confirming the 100% YES crowd-implied probability for a Zero Tenacity win [1][2]. This result aligns with a dominant historical pattern: Zero Tenacity has won all five of their recent head-to-head encounters since August 2025, holding a 91% win rate against Nemiga compared to Nemiga’s mere 9% [3][7]. Zero Tenacity’s 58% win rate over the past half-year and third-place finish at EPL Season 38 underscore consistent tactical superiority, whereas Nemiga’s 48% win rate and repeated losses in decisive series reveal structural weakness in this matchup [3][7].
Traders should monitor official roster announcements for both teams, as recent line-up changes could alter future dynamics despite this match’s settled outcome [10]. Zero Tenacity’s current roster features desire, Worick, Smiling Knight, MoOz, and LeBronDota, while Nemiga Gaming plays with ariel, Covisnine, selfhate, youNG G, and Fishman [5]. Although this specific match is completed, upcoming fixtures in the EPL Masters Play-In—such as Zero Tenacity’s 21 July encounter against Team Aoin—offer adjacent trading opportunities where form and ranking disparities (Zero Tenacity ranked #55, Team Aoin unranked) may again drive near-certain probabilities [11]. No suspensions or injuries have been reported for either side in the immediate aftermath of this result.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Trade توقع: Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) -… on توقعات المونديال
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