Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Burnley FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Burnley FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| West Ham United FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| West Ham United FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| West Ham United FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Burnley FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Burnley FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| West Ham United FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Burnley FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| West Ham United FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Burnley FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| West Ham United FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Burnley FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| West Ham United FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Burnley FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Burnley FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| West Ham United FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| West Ham United FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Burnley host West Ham at Turf Moor with both sides opening the Championship season level on one point after a 2-2 draw on the day, a scoreline that fits a fairly balanced pre-match read rather than a strong directional lean. Burnley’s recent profile has been mixed, with a penalty shoot-out win over Notts County and a narrow friendly defeat to Ajax, while West Ham arrived after beating Portsmouth 3-1 in the cup and had looked the more settled side in early fixtures. The head-to-head context is thin at this level, so the market is being driven more by current squad state than by historical rivalry.
The key catalysts were team news and selection. West Ham’s expected XI before kick-off pointed to a fairly strong first-choice group, with Bowen, Mavropanos, Kilman, Walker-Peters and Hermansen all available, while Burnley also named a competitive side with Flemming, Ramsey, Bruun Larsen and Mejbri starting. That reduced the chance of late line-up shocks before the settlement window, although any in-match injury or substitution pattern would still matter for related markets. The 0% yes price implies the market was treating this as a near-impossible angle, but the live pre-match news flow suggested a tighter contest than that figure alone would indicate.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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