Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
23% | 77% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
23% | 77% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | 23% |
| Jessica Pegula | 16% |
| Marta Kostyuk | 13% |
| Madison Keys | 11% |
| Karolína Muchová | 11% |
| Coco Gauff | 10% |
| Linda Nosková | 6% |
| Alexandra Eala | 6% |
| Jasmine Paolini | 3% |
| Elise Mertens | 2% |
| Marie Bouzková | 2% |
| Iga Świątek | 0% |
| Aryna Sabalenka | 0% |
| Elena Rybakina | 0% |
| Amanda Anisimova | 0% |
| Emma Raducanu | 0% |
| Mirra Andreeva | 0% |
| Markéta Vondroušová | 0% |
| Qinwen Zheng | 0% |
| Belinda Bencic | 0% |
| Liudmila Samsonova | 0% |
| Elina Svitolina | 0% |
| Victoria Mboko | 0% |
| Emma Navarro | 0% |
| Barbora Krejčíková | 0% |
| Ons Jabeur | 0% |
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | 0% |
| Paula Badosa | 0% |
| Tatjana Maria | 0% |
| Maya Joint | 0% |
| Clara Tauson | 0% |
| Olga Danilović | 0% |
| McCartney Kessler | 0% |
| Solana Sierra | 0% |
| Ashlyn Krueger | 0% |
| Sonay Kartal | 0% |
| Dayana Yastremska | 0% |
| Leylah Fernandez | 0% |
| Beatriz Haddad Maia | 0% |
| Laura Siegemund | 0% |
| Donna Vekić | 0% |
| Xinyu Wang | 0% |
| Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova | 0% |
| Yulia Putintseva | 0% |
| Jelena Ostapenko | 0% |
| Maria Sakkari | 0% |
| Anna Kalinskaya | 0% |
| Diana Shnaider | 0% |
| Other | 0% |
| Maja Chwalinska | 0% |
| Serena Williams | 0% |
| Iva Jovic | 0% |
| Player E | 0% |
| Player F | 0% |
| Player G | 0% |
| Player H | 0% |
| Player I | 0% |
| Player J | 0% |
| Player K | 0% |
| Player L | 0% |
| Player M | 0% |
| Player N | 0% |
| Player O | 0% |
| Player P | 0% |
| Player Q | 0% |
| Player R | 0% |
| Player S | 0% |
| Player T | 0% |
| Player U | 0% |
| Player V | 0% |
| Player W | 0% |
| Player X | 0% |
| Player Y | 0% |
| Player Z | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 23% probability to توقع: 2026 women's wimbledon winner. Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a l…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: 2026 Women's Wimbledon Winner. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: 2026 Women's Wimbledon Winner on توقعات المونديال
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →