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توقع: Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin 100% Completed Match 100% Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $110K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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توقع: Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin100%
Completed Match100%
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin Match O/U 21.5100%
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin Set 2 Winner100%
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin Match O/U 22.5100%
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin Match O/U 23.5100%
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin Set 1 Winner0%
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

توقع: Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the tennis match between Spencer Johnson and Andres Martin in the Lexington, originally scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Spencer Johnson' …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Lexington: Spencer Johnson vs Andres Martin. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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Related Topics

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