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توقع: US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Completed Match 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set Handicap +/-1.5 100% Volume: $66K Closes: 31 Aug 2026
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توقع: US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set 1 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Match O/U 21.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Game Spread +/-5.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set 2 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set 2 O/U 9.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Match O/U 22.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Set 2 O/U 10.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of توقع: us open, qualification atp: franco roncadelli vs elias ymer. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Franco Roncadelli and Elias Ymer in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This mar…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: US Open, Qualification ATP: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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