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توقع: 1. FC Magdeburg vs. Holstein Kiel - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: 1. FC Magdeburg vs. Holstein Kiel - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

1. FC Magdeburg (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% 1. FC Magdeburg O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $126K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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توقع: 1. FC Magdeburg vs. Holstein Kiel - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1. FC Magdeburg (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
1. FC Magdeburg O/U 0.5100%
1. FC Magdeburg O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
1. FC Magdeburg 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
1. FC Magdeburg 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
1. FC Magdeburg O/U 2.51%
Holstein Kiel (-1.5)0%
1. FC Magdeburg (-2.5)0%
Holstein Kiel (-2.5)0%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Holstein Kiel O/U 0.50%
Holstein Kiel O/U 1.50%
Holstein Kiel O/U 2.50%
1. FC Magdeburg 1st Half O/U 0.50%
1. FC Magdeburg 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Holstein Kiel 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Holstein Kiel 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Holstein Kiel 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Holstein Kiel 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

The توقع: 1. FC Magdeburg vs. Holstein Kiel - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. More markets for the 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for August 30 at 7:30 AM ET.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: 1. FC Magdeburg vs. Holstein Kiel - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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Related Topics

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