Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 91% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 91% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 91% |
| O/U 42.5 | 90% |
| Spread: Sacramento State (-35.5) | 72% |
| Spread -37.5 | 71% |
| Spread -21.5 | 71% |
| O/U 48.5 | 66% |
| O/U 36.5 | 55% |
| Spread -16.5 | 51% |
| Spread -17.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 51% |
| Spread -24.5 | 51% |
| Spread -36.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -27.5 | 50% |
| Spread -31.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| O/U 40.5 | 50% |
| O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| O/U 46.5 | 50% |
| O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| O/U 68.5 | 50% |
| O/U 70.5 | 50% |
| O/U 74.5 | 50% |
| O/U 76.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Mississippi Valley State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Sacramento State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -38.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| O/U 54.5 | 44% |
| O/U 56.5 | 35% |
| O/U 58.5 | 35% |
| O/U 60.5 | 28% |
| O/U 66.5 | 16% |
| O/U 72.5 | 16% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 10% |
| Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State | 1% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to توقع: mississippi valley state vs. sacramento state. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 5 at 10:00PM ET: If Mississippi Valley State wins, the market will resolve to "Mississippi Valley State". If Sacramento State wins, the m…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $238K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2210%22%20y%3D%224%22%20width%3D%2244%22%20height%3D%2214%22%20rx%3D%227%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%228%22%20%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3Crect%20x%3D%2248%22%20y%3D%2218%22%20width%3D%228%22%20%20height%3D%2218%22%20rx%3D%224%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20opacity%3D%220.7%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
and%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%206%2066%20A%2026%2026%200%200%201%2058%2066%22%20fill%3D%22%23E6B98D%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3Ccircle%20cx%3D%2232%22%20cy%3D%2226%22%20r%3D%2222%22%20fill%3D%22%23F5CBA7%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20d%3D%22M%2010%2026%20A%2022%2028%200%200%201%2054%2026%22%20fill%3D%22%23fbbf24%22%20opacity%3D%220.9%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E){kind=small}
Trade توقع: Mississippi Valley State vs. Sacramento State on توقعات المونديال
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →