Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Shanghai Haigang FC O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Shanghai Haigang FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Shanghai Haigang FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Shanghai Haigang FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Shanghai Haigang FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Chongqing Tonglianglong host Shanghai Haigang in the Chinese Super League, with the listed kick-off at Chongqing Longxing Football Stadium. Recent form points to a tighter game than a 0% “YES” price suggests: Chongqing have taken one point from their last three league matches, including a 2-0 loss at Shenzhen Xinpengcheng on 2 August, while Sky Sports’ form page shows a run of low-scoring results and only one win in six league outings.[6][2]
The historical frame is still important because the sides have already met this season. In April, Shanghai Haigang beat Chongqing 2-1, but the earlier Polymarket match page also noted that Chongqing had begun that period with an unbeaten run and that “no major injury updates” were changing the line-up picture, which helps explain why traders were not pricing a one-way contest then.[3][4] Across the broader sample, Chongqing’s profile has been more draw-prone than dominant, while Shanghai’s cleaner-sheet record has tended to keep their matches more structured than chaotic.[1]
For line-up catalysts, the key watchpoint is whether either side rotates after the recent league schedule, because late changes to overseas players and forward selection can move the total-goals and both-teams-to-score markets quickly. The fixture is listed for 9 August, but the market settles only once the match is completed, so any pre-match team news, confirmation of injuries, or suspension updates before kick-off matter more than the early crowd price.[2][5]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shanghai Haigan… on توقعات المونديال
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →