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توقع: Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5 100% Dalian Yingbo FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $120K Liquidity: $853K Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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توقع: Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5100%
Dalian Yingbo FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half1%
2nd Half O/U 0.51%
2nd Half O/U 1.51%
2nd Half O/U 2.51%
Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)0%
Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5)0%
Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)0%
Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 1.50%
Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 2.50%
Liaoning Tieren FC O/U 0.50%
Liaoning Tieren FC O/U 1.50%
Liaoning Tieren FC O/U 2.50%
Dalian Yingbo FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Liaoning Tieren FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Liaoning Tieren FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Dalian Yingbo FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Dalian Yingbo FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Liaoning Tieren FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Liaoning Tieren FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Dalian Yingbo FC have already taken the sharper edge in this pairing, beating Liaoning Tieren 1-0 away on 22 April and leading the season head-to-head 1-0. Across the wider league picture, the two sides have been close on points and goal difference, with Dalian on 29 points from 20 matches and Liaoning on 24 from 20, which fits a market where the main question is not superiority but whether the more market outcomes can be influenced by a narrow scoreline or late team news.[10][14][12]

The historical read is that this fixture has not produced much draw noise: the available head-to-head samples all point to a decisive result, with Dalian winning the only top-flight meeting listed this season and earlier meetings in 2024 splitting 3-2 and 2-1 results.[7][1][2] That matters for a “more markets” price at 0% YES, because the market is effectively saying the event is already overdetermined; a move would need either a materially different pre-match setup or an in-play development that breaks the usual low-margin pattern.[1][7]

The main catalysts to watch are late line-up announcements and any injury or suspension updates, because the live match pages show expected line-ups but do not yet confirm them in the source set.[9][8] Dalian’s recent form has been mixed but productive at home, including wins over Shandong Luneng and Wuhan Three Towns, while Liaoning have been similarly uneven, so any surprise absence in defence or at centre-forward is the kind of news most likely to move a prop or alternate-market price before kick-off.[3][5][12]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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