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توقع: Atalanta BC vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Atalanta BC vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Atalanta BC (-1.5) 0% MH Hapoel Tel Aviv (-1.5) 0% Atalanta BC (-2.5) 0% MH Hapoel Tel Aviv (-2.5) 0% Volume: $75K Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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توقع: Atalanta BC vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Atalanta BC (-1.5)0%
MH Hapoel Tel Aviv (-1.5)0%
Atalanta BC (-2.5)0%
MH Hapoel Tel Aviv (-2.5)0%
O/U 0.50%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Atalanta BC O/U 0.50%
Atalanta BC O/U 1.50%
Atalanta BC O/U 2.50%
MH Hapoel Tel Aviv O/U 0.50%
MH Hapoel Tel Aviv O/U 1.50%
MH Hapoel Tel Aviv O/U 2.50%
Atalanta BC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Atalanta BC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
MH Hapoel Tel Aviv 1st Half O/U 0.50%
MH Hapoel Tel Aviv 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 0.50%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Atalanta BC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Atalanta BC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
MH Hapoel Tel Aviv 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
MH Hapoel Tel Aviv 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Atalanta’s first-leg meeting with Hapoel Tel Aviv finished 0-0, leaving the tie finely balanced and explaining why the market can sit at 0% for a yes outcome once the match has already settled to a draw.[1][8][9] That sort of price is usually seen when the underlying event has no live path left, or when the settlement condition is no longer achievable by the deadline; in this case the window ended at kick-off time, so any post-match read is purely about how the fixture unfolded rather than what could still happen.[1][9]

For form context, Atalanta went into the game off a narrow win over Athletic Club and a strong pre-season run, but they had several absences on the injury list, including Kamaldeen Sulemana, Charles De Ketelaere, Honest Ahanor and Isak Hien.[2][13] Hapoel Tel Aviv’s recent results were steadier than the market might assume for an underdog: a 2-1 away win at Ironi Kiryat Shmona followed a 2-1 aggregate defeat to GKS Katowice, while their draw away in Bergamo kept the qualification race alive.[14]

The main trader watchpoints were team news and late fitness calls rather than historic head-to-heads, because there was no meaningful prior rivalry data and the tie depended on whether Atalanta could field enough attacking quality to turn control into goals.[11][14] Sky and ESPN’s live match coverage confirmed the fixture status and scoreline, while FotMob’s team sheet noted Atalanta’s injury list and that Hapoel Tel Aviv had no unavailable players, a combination that mattered for any market tied to line-ups or “more markets” pricing.[2][6][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Atalanta BC vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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