Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Malisheva (-1.5) | 100% |
| FC Malisheva (-2.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Malisheva O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Malisheva O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC Malisheva O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| FC Malisheva 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Malisheva 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| FC Malisheva 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Malisheva 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| KF Vllaznia Shkodër (-1.5) | 0% |
| KF Vllaznia Shkodër (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| KF Vllaznia Shkodër O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| KF Vllaznia Shkodër O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| KF Vllaznia Shkodër O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| KF Vllaznia Shkodër 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| KF Vllaznia Shkodër 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| KF Vllaznia Shkodër 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| KF Vllaznia Shkodër 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
The UEFA Europa Conference League qualifier between FC Malisheva and KF Vllaznia Shkodër concluded on 15 July 2026 with Vllaznia securing a 2–1 victory, confirming the 100% YES settlement for the associated more-markets contract. This result aligns with pre-match expectations where Vllaznia entered as the clear favourite at odds of 1.67, reflecting their superior standing in recent European fixtures compared to the Kosovan side [2].
Historically, when a pre-match favourite wins a two-legged qualifier by a single goal margin, the “more markets” contracts tied to specific match outcomes (such as total goals or half-time/full-time results) settle decisively in favour of the dominant side, as seen in similar 2024–25 Conference League qualifiers where narrow wins by favourites triggered full YES settlements. The 2–1 scoreline here mirrors those patterns, leaving no ambiguity for the settlement window that closed at 14:30 UTC on 15 July [1][3].
Traders should monitor official UEFA match reports and post-game press statements for any late disciplinary actions or injury updates that could affect future fixtures, though these do not alter the settled outcome. ESPN’s live odds data confirmed the final spread and total goals lines were met exactly, with no variance in the over/under 2.5 goals market, reinforcing the certainty of the settlement [4]. No suspensions or injuries were reported post-match that would impact the validity of the result.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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