Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
53% | 47% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
53% | 47% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Manchester Super Giants - Completed match? | 53% |
| The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Manchester Super Giants | 0% |
| The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Manchester Super Giants - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
Southern Brave’s men’s match against Manchester Super Giants at the Rose Bowl has already finished, and the live result was a Super Giants win by 10 runs after they posted 149 for 8 and then held Brave to 139 for 6. That makes the market’s current 0% YES price look like a stale or post-settlement artefact rather than a live view of the fixture, because the underlying event has been decided on the field.[1][11]
If you are reading this as a form guide for a similar rematch, the recent and head-to-head record points to a fairly tight contest rather than a mismatch. ESPN’s results tracker shows Southern Brave had won the previous two men’s Hundred meetings before this game, including a one-wicket chase in 2025 and a one-wicket win in 2024, while the broader venue pattern has tended to produce modest totals and close finishes.[6][15] That is the kind of profile that usually leaves a narrow pre-match price vulnerable to line-up news, toss bias, and late bowling changes rather than to one side’s raw reputation.[6][15]
The key live catalysts for traders in future meetings are team-sheet confirmation, any injury or workload management for pace bowlers, and whether either side can field its strongest death-overs attack. Cricbuzz listed this match as a 6.00 pm local start, with Manchester Super Giants winning the toss and choosing to bat, which is relevant because chasing has often been workable at Southampton in recent Hundred samples.[2][15] In the women’s match on the same day, Manchester Super Giants also beat Southern Brave by 27 runs and moved into third place, underlining that the squad set-up across both sides was in competitive shape on the day.[9][16]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $108K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Manchester Super Giants. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Manchester Supe… on توقعات المونديال
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →