Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets - Who wins the toss? | 100% |
| The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets - Completed match? | 53% |
| The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets | 0% |
Market context
Manchester Super Giants Women’s meeting with Trent Rockets Women at Emirates Old Trafford is a top-half Hundred fixture with live table implications, and the market’s 0% YES price is hard to reconcile with the pre-match balance. Manchester came in on 10 points from three games with an unbeaten record, while Trent Rockets held 8 points from three after two wins and a defeat, and both sides carried strong net run rates into the match[2]. The recent head-to-head also leans towards Manchester: they have won four of the last five Hundred women’s meetings against Trent, including narrow and high-scoring chases that suggest the matchup has usually been competitive rather than one-sided[2].
The line has to be read against the selected XIs and late team news. Manchester’s squad features Meg Lanning, Smriti Mandhana, Richa Ghosh and Sophie Ecclestone, while Trent’s group is built around Beth Mooney, Ashleigh Gardner, Nat Sciver-Brunt and Kim Garth, so both line-ups contain enough batting depth and bowling control to swing the result on a single innings[1]. The key catalyst is whether either side manages a cleaner powerplay with the bat or a match-defining new-ball spell; the scorecard already showed Trent losing Mooney cheaply before Dunkley and Luff repaired the innings, underlining how quickly the contest can change on this ground[3]. The match was scheduled for 3:00 pm local time, and any late alteration to conditions or revised playing time would matter because a shortened game increases variance and can flatter the side batting second[1][3].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $413K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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