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توقع: Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $417K Liquidity: $182K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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توقع: Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)53%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.548%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)48%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs Heroic (+6.5)48%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-9.5) vs 100 Thieves (+9.5)48%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.548%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Heroic (-6.5) vs 100 Thieves (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Heroic (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.50%

Market context

توقع: Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike 3rd Place match between Heroic and 100 Thieves in the Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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