Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| AC Horsens 0 - 2 Brøndby IF | 100% |
| AC Horsens 0 - 0 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 0 - 1 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 1 - 0 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 1 - 1 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 2 - 0 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 0 - 3 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 1 - 2 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 2 - 1 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 3 - 0 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 1 - 3 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 2 - 2 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 3 - 1 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 2 - 3 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 3 - 2 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 3 - 3 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| Any Other Score | 0% |
Market context
AC Horsens are hosting Brøndby IF in the Superliga, and the market has opened with the crowd pricing **0% for YES**, which only makes sense if the listed exact score options are perceived as a poor fit for the likely game state. Brøndby arrive with the stronger recent head-to-head edge: FotMob lists the overall record at **10 Brøndby wins, 8 Horsens wins and 5 draws**, while FootyStats shows Brøndby have won **9 of the last 15** meetings, scoring **34** goals to Horsens’ **18**.[1][3][6]
The recent form line also leans towards Brøndby. Sky Sports shows Brøndby have started the league with a **1-1 draw away at AGF** and a **1-0 home win over Viborg**, while Horsens drew **1-1 with Nordsjælland** before losing **2-1 away at Midtjylland**.[15][8] That profile points more towards a narrow Brøndby win or a low-scoring scoreline than a chaotic, wide-margin result, which matters in an exact-score market because the “Any Other Score” bucket can be very live when the favourite is solid but not explosive.
For traders, the main catalysts are the final team sheets and any late injury or suspension news, plus whether Brøndby’s preferred attacking options all start together. FotMob’s match page flags that Horsens have **failed to win in five** and **kept no clean sheet in five**, while Brøndby have scored **10 goals in their last five matches**, suggesting the exact score outcome will be sensitive to whether Horsens can avoid an early concession and whether Brøndby rotate after the weekend schedule.[1] ESPN’s live match data also shows Brøndby already carrying the stronger points return in the opening rounds, so any late absence in their forward line would be the kind of news that can move exact-score expectations quickly.[2]
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: AC Horsens vs. Brøndby IF - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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