Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 93% |
| Odense BK O/U 0.5 | 83% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 77% |
| O/U 1.5 | 75% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 70% |
| AC Horsens O/U 0.5 | 62% |
| Odense BK 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 61% |
| Odense BK 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 54% |
| Both Teams to Score | 52% |
| Odense BK O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| AC Horsens 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| AC Horsens 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 34% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Odense BK (-1.5) | 30% |
| O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 26% |
| AC Horsens O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Odense BK 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 25% |
| Odense BK O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| AC Horsens 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 18% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| Odense BK 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| Odense BK (-2.5) | 13% |
| O/U 4.5 | 13% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| AC Horsens 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 11% |
| AC Horsens O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| AC Horsens (-1.5) | 7% |
| O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| AC Horsens (-2.5) | 1% |
Market context
Odense BK travel to AC Horsens on 16 August for a Denmark Superliga fixture, with settlement contingent on the final whistle at 8:00 AM ET. The 30% implied probability reflects a market pricing Odense as clear favourites, though the early kick-off and mid-season timing (week one of the 2026 campaign) introduces scheduling friction typical of Danish league openers.
Odense's recent trajectory matters considerably here. Last season they finished fourth, securing European qualification; Horsens languished in mid-table, finishing eighth. Head-to-head records over the past three seasons favour Odense, who won two of the last four meetings. However, Horsens have shown resilience in home fixtures, particularly against sides expected to dominate possession. The 30% line suggests the market is pricing in Odense's superior squad depth and European exposure, yet leaves meaningful room for a Horsens upset or draw—a reasonable hedge given Horsens' defensive solidity at home.
Traders should monitor team news releases through mid-August for injury confirmations and squad rotation decisions. Pre-season friendlies and training reports from both clubs, typically published by Danish media outlets like Bold.dk, often signal tactical adjustments or fitness concerns ahead of league openers. Odense's European commitments (if they've advanced through qualifying rounds) could affect squad rotation; conversely, Horsens' lack of European football may allow full preparation. Weather conditions in Odense on match day and any late-breaking suspension news will influence final positioning. Settlement hinges on the official Superliga result announcement, typically confirmed within two hours of the final whistle.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Odense BK vs. AC Horsens - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: Odense BK vs. AC Horsens - More Markets on توقعات المونديال
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →