Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 100% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 90% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 1? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 1? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 95.5 in Game 1? | 90% |
| Match Winner | 61% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 100.5 in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 105.5 in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 110.5 in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 120.5 in Game 1? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? | 50% |
| Game 2 Winner | 21% |
| Ends in Daytime | 10% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% |
Market context
توقع: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Spirit and MOUZ in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for July 7 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team S…
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group C. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
Trade توقع: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ (BO2) - Esports Wo… on توقعات المونديال
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →