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توقع: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 56% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 56% Ends in Daytime 53% Ends in Daytime 52% Volume: $66K Liquidity: $494K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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توقع: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
56% 44% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
56% 44% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?56%
Ends in Daytime53%
Ends in Daytime52%
Ends in Daytime52%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?43%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?42%
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)40%
Both Teams Beat Roshan38%
Both Teams Beat Roshan38%
Game 1 Winner37%
Game 2 Winner37%
Both Teams Beat Roshan36%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks35%
Any Player Ultra Kill35%
Match Winner32%
Any Player Ultra Kill32%
Any Player Ultra Kill30%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks27%
Any Player Rampage20%
Any Player Rampage20%
Any Player Rampage19%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, توقع: dota 2: team spirit vs team vision (bo3) - the international playoffs stands at 56% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Team Spirit and TEAM VISION in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 4…

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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