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توقع: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5) 100% Volume: $3.3M Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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توقع: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)100%
Any Player Ultra Kill100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?100%
Ends in Daytime91%
Ends in Daytime90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan51%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Any Player Rampage49%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?10%
Both Teams Beat Roshan1%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?1%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for توقع: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. This market refers to the Dota 2 Quarterfinal 3 match between Team Yandex and Team Spirit in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 17 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Priya SharmaPriya SharmaCrypto & DeFi AnalystandAlex ChenAlex ChenPrediction Market Analyst

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