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توقع: Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5) 100% Volume: $294K Closes: 20 Jul 2026
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توقع: Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: Z10 (-1.5) vs Nemiga Gaming (+1.5)100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks100%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%

Market context

Zero Tenacity defeated Nemiga Gaming 2–0 in their EPL Masters Play-In Group B match on 20 July 2026, confirming the 100% YES crowd-implied probability for a Zero Tenacity win [1][2]. This result aligns with a dominant historical pattern: Zero Tenacity has won all five of their recent head-to-head encounters since August 2025, holding a 91% win rate against Nemiga compared to Nemiga’s mere 9% [3][7]. Zero Tenacity’s 58% win rate over the past half-year and third-place finish at EPL Season 38 underscore consistent tactical superiority, whereas Nemiga’s 48% win rate and repeated losses in decisive series reveal structural weakness in this matchup [3][7].

Traders should monitor official roster announcements for both teams, as recent line-up changes could alter future dynamics despite this match’s settled outcome [10]. Zero Tenacity’s current roster features desire, Worick, Smiling Knight, MoOz, and LeBronDota, while Nemiga Gaming plays with ariel, Covisnine, selfhate, youNG G, and Fishman [5]. Although this specific match is completed, upcoming fixtures in the EPL Masters Play-In—such as Zero Tenacity’s 21 July encounter against Team Aoin—offer adjacent trading opportunities where form and ranking disparities (Zero Tenacity ranked #55, Team Aoin unranked) may again drive near-certain probabilities [11]. No suspensions or injuries have been reported for either side in the immediate aftermath of this result.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
Which sports markets are available?
Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
How fast do sports winnings settle?
Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
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