Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| CSD Macara | 100% |
| Barcelona SC | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
Barcelona SC’s meeting with CSD Macara is a LigaPro Primera A fixture, but the market’s 0% YES implies the result is already fully settled against that outcome, so the useful context is the footballing baseline rather than the live price. The head-to-head record is broadly Barcelona-favoured over the long run, with several databases showing Barcelona ahead on wins and recent meetings also leaning their way, including 2–1 and 1–0 victories in 2024–25 and a 1–1 draw before that[2][4][14]. Across larger samples, the rivalry has also produced a meaningful number of draws, which matters because Macara have often been competitive enough to keep the scoreline tight even when they do not win[5][12][18].
For traders, the main catalysts are the confirmed line-ups, any late fitness or suspension news, and whether Barcelona rotate if the fixture lands amid a congested league schedule. Recent head-to-head trend data points to Barcelona scoring at roughly one goal per game in their last five and conceding about one per game as well, which suggests small changes to attacking availability could move expectations materially[11]. Macara’s recent results in the head-to-head have been poorer, but they have still taken points in this pairing, so a first-choice Barcelona attack or an unexpectedly weakened away defence would be the clearest line-moving inputs[1][3][11].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $53K.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Barcelona SC vs. CSD Macara. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
- Can I import form data and lineups?
- This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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