Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam 0 - 1 Feyenoord Rotterdam | 100% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 0 - 0 Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 0 Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 0 - 2 Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 1 Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 2 - 0 Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 0 - 3 Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 2 Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 2 - 1 Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 3 - 0 Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 3 Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 2 - 2 Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 3 - 1 Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 2 - 3 Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 3 - 2 Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0% |
| Sparta Rotterdam 3 - 3 Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0% |
| Any Other Score | 0% |
Market context
Sparta Rotterdam host Feyenoord in an Eredivisie derby that has recently produced far more variance than the long-run head-to-head suggests. Feyenoord still own the stronger historical record, with the matchup data showing a clear edge across the modern sample, but Sparta’s 4-3 win in Rotterdam in January 2026 and the 1-1 draw at Het Kasteel in August 2024 show the derby can break away from the favourite’s script.[6][17][18] Even so, Feyenoord have also delivered the heavier wins in this fixture, including 3-0 and 4-0 league victories in recent seasons, which keeps the market sensitive to any sign of a full-strength away side.[9][17]
For an exact-score market, the most important catalysts are team news and whether Feyenoord rotate after their pre-season and early-season workload. The live match pages show line-ups are not yet fixed, so trader focus should be on the confirmed starting XIs, especially any changes in Feyenoord’s front line or defensive spine and whether Sparta can field a settled back four.[2][4] Sparta’s recent form markers are also relevant: one preview source notes they followed a 3-2 home loss to Excelsior, while Feyenoord came in off a 2-0 win, a gap that would support the away side’s scoreline range if replicated here.[18] Given the market is already priced at 0% for “YES”, the practical question is not whether Feyenoord are favoured, but whether the final score lands in one of the listed common outcomes or spills into “Any Other Score”.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Sparta Rotterdam vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam - Exact Score. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- Are prediction markets better than sports betting?
- Prediction markets tend toward tighter odds than bookmakers because they use peer-to-peer exchange rather than bookmaker margin. On major matches, Polymarket quotes typically sit 2-5% closer to the true probability model than bet365 or DraftKings.
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
- Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
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