Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| US Cremonese (-1.5) | 100% |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| US Cremonese O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| US Cremonese O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| US Cremonese 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| US Cremonese 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| UC Sampdoria (-1.5) | 0% |
| US Cremonese (-2.5) | 0% |
| UC Sampdoria (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| US Cremonese O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| UC Sampdoria O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| UC Sampdoria O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| UC Sampdoria O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| US Cremonese 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| UC Sampdoria 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| UC Sampdoria 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| US Cremonese 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| UC Sampdoria 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| UC Sampdoria 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
The Coppa Italia fixture between US Cremonese and UC Sampdoria on 17 August will determine progression in Italy's domestic cup competition. Both clubs compete in Serie B, the second tier, and this early-round encounter carries standard knockout rules—extra time and penalties if required. The 100% implied probability reflects either a technical settlement condition (such as the market resolving on fixture confirmation rather than outcome) or exceptional clarity around match logistics that removes uncertainty about whether the game will be played.
Cremonese and Sampdoria have met frequently in recent Serie B campaigns, with results typically close and contingent on squad depth rather than class separation. Sampdoria, historically the stronger institution with European pedigree, has faced relegation and rebuilding; Cremonese has established itself as a mid-tier Serie B operator. Head-to-head records from 2022–2024 show competitive balance, with neither side dominating. The 100% settlement probability suggests traders are not pricing outcome uncertainty but rather fixture-level certainty—a distinction critical for interpreting whether this reflects confidence in the match occurring or confidence in a specific result.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official Coppa Italia fixture confirmations through mid-August. Injury announcements affecting key midfielders or strikers could shift secondary markets on goal totals or scoreline specifics, though the primary market's certainty indicates those details are not expected to alter the fundamental settlement condition. Fixture postponements remain rare at this stage of the calendar, and no scheduling conflicts have been reported for either club as of early August.
Methodology
Football-specific comparison page for توقع: US Cremonese vs. UC Sampdoria - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).
Resolution & payout
Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.
FAQ
- When do sports markets resolve?
- Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
- Can I bet on individual matches?
- Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
- What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
- Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
- Which sports markets are available?
- Football (soccer) dominates — Champions League, World Cup, Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga — followed by NFL, NBA, tennis Grand Slams, Formula 1, boxing/MMA. Resolution via official league source confirmation.
- How fast do sports winnings settle?
- Once the official league outcome is logged in the UMA Oracle (typically 1-2 hours after the final whistle), Polymarket's smart contract triggers USDC payout. To your wallet within minutes.
Trade توقع: US Cremonese vs. UC Sampdoria - More Markets on توقعات المونديال
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →