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توقع: Pisa SC vs. Empoli FC - More Markets

How the prediction market is pricing "توقع: Pisa SC vs. Empoli FC - More Markets" right now — Polymarket mid plus comparison with Betfair and Manifold.

O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Both Teams to Score 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $170K Liquidity: $836K Closes: 17 Aug 2026
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توقع: Pisa SC vs. Empoli FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via توقعات المونديال) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Pisa SC O/U 0.5100%
Empoli FC O/U 0.5100%
Pisa SC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Empoli FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Pisa SC (-1.5)0%
Empoli FC (-1.5)0%
Pisa SC (-2.5)0%
Empoli FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Pisa SC O/U 1.50%
Pisa SC O/U 2.50%
Empoli FC O/U 1.50%
Empoli FC O/U 2.50%
Pisa SC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Empoli FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Empoli FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Pisa SC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Pisa SC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Empoli FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Pisa and Empoli meet in the Coppa Italia on 17 August, a fixture that sits at the threshold of the 2024–25 season proper. Both clubs finished the previous Serie B campaign in mid-table positions, with Pisa securing promotion via the play-offs whilst Empoli remained in the second tier. The match carries weight as an early-season knockout test, though neither side will have completed substantial pre-season conditioning by mid-August. Current squad depth and injury tolerance remain fluid variables; official team sheets typically emerge 24–48 hours before kick-off, making early probability assessments provisional.

Historical Coppa Italia encounters between these sides show mixed results, with neither club establishing clear dominance in the fixture. Pisa's recent promotion trajectory suggests marginal tactical advantage, yet Empoli's experience in Serie B competition may translate to sharper match-fitness during the opening weeks. The 0% implied probability reflects either extreme uncertainty in the market's initial pricing or a technical settlement condition that has not yet crystallised. Traders should monitor official injury bulletins from both clubs' medical departments and any late squad rotation announcements, particularly given the fixture's position in the pre-season calendar.

Key catalysts include confirmed team news releases (typically 48 hours pre-match), any last-minute withdrawals due to international commitments, and weather conditions affecting pitch quality on match day. Coppa Italia format changes or fixture rescheduling remain possible if either club faces administrative complications. Settlement hinges on the precise market definition—whether it covers match outcome, goal totals, or specific player performance metrics—which should be verified against the exact contract terms before position entry.

Methodology

Football-specific comparison page for توقع: Pisa SC vs. Empoli FC - More Markets. Polymarket's live quote (Polygon order book) plus platform attributes for the three reference venues. Sports markets reward liquidity — Polymarket and Betfair are materially deeper than Kalshi (US-focused) or Manifold (play-money).

Resolution & payout

Sports markets typically settle on official final-whistle plus league confirmation. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with a source URL per contract — usually official league data feeds or ESPN/Soccerway. Two-hour dispute window, then smart-contract payout in USDC.

FAQ

When do sports markets resolve?
Typically within hours of the official final whistle. Polymarket uses UMA Optimistic Oracle with source URLs pointing at official league data feeds — e.g. the Premier League for EPL markets, UEFA for Champions League, FIFA for World Cup.
Can I bet on individual matches?
Yes, Polymarket lists every major Premier League / Champions League / World Cup match as its own market. Liquidity varies — top matches like El Clásico or a semi-final often have six-figure pools, lower-league games closer to three-figure.
What are live sports odds on Polymarket?
Some top-tier matches stay open during play — you can trade the half-time probability in the 70th minute. Polymarket mid-prices update second-by-second; any frontend mirroring the order book shows the same movement.
What's the difference between match odds and outright odds?
Match odds cover a single game ("Bayern beats BVB"). Outright odds are long-term aggregates ("Bayern wins the league"). Outright markets have deeper liquidity; match markets have faster resolution.
Can I import form data and lineups?
This page shows the live Polymarket quote as an implied probability. Form data and lineups must be researched separately via sports data providers (e.g. Soccerway, ESPN, FBref) — we surface the market probability, not the sport analysis.
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